Alex De Minaur vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & H2H | String Tension

Alex De Minaur

Rank: 7Elo: 1793Age: 27

4 - 8

Head-to-Head

Daniil Medvedev

Rank: 8Elo: 1778Age: 30

Match Prediction

Alex

De Minaur

Overall: 1793

Hard: 1663

VS

Daniil

Medvedev

Overall: 1778

Hard: 1885

String Tension Elo Prediction:

Medvedev 55.4%

-124

String Tension

ELO Comparison

Match History (12 Matches)

Showing 1 to 10 of 12 matches

Shanghai Rolex MastersSep 29, 2025

Quarter-Finals · Hard

A. De Minaur

44

D. Medvedev

66

Monte-Carlo Rolex MastersApr 7, 2025

3rd Round · Clay

A. De Minaur

66

D. Medvedev

22

Tour FinalsNov 11, 2024

Round Robin · Hard

A. De Minaur

24

D. Medvedev

66

Roland GarrosMay 27, 2024

Round of 16 · Clay

A. De Minaur

4666

D. Medvedev

6213

BeijingSep 27, 2023

Round of 16 · Hard

A. De Minaur

6(3)3

D. Medvedev

76

Us OpenAug 28, 2023

Round of 16 · Hard

A. De Minaur

6412

D. Medvedev

2666

Canada MastersAug 7, 2023

Quarter-Finals · Hard

A. De Minaur

77

D. Medvedev

6(7)5

Paris MastersOct 31, 2022

Round of 32 · Hard

A. De Minaur

627

D. Medvedev

465

Atp CupJan 3, 2022

Round Robin · Hard

A. De Minaur

42

D. Medvedev

66

Paris MastersNov 2, 2020

Round of 16 · Hard

A. De Minaur

722

D. Medvedev

566

Date	Tournament	Winner	Score
Sep 29, 2025	Shanghai Rolex Masters\| Quarter-Finals Hard	Daniil Medvedev	66 44
Apr 7, 2025	Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters\| 3rd Round Clay	Alex De Minaur	66 22
Nov 11, 2024	Tour Finals\| Round Robin Hard	Daniil Medvedev	66 24
May 27, 2024	Roland Garros\| Round of 16 Clay	Alex De Minaur	4666 6213
Sep 27, 2023	Beijing\| Round of 16 Hard	Daniil Medvedev	76 6(3)3
Aug 28, 2023	Us Open\| Round of 16 Hard	Daniil Medvedev	2666 6412
Aug 7, 2023	Canada Masters\| Quarter-Finals Hard	Alex De Minaur	77 6(7)5
Oct 31, 2022	Paris Masters\| Round of 32 Hard	Alex De Minaur	627 465
Jan 3, 2022	Atp Cup\| Round Robin Hard	Daniil Medvedev	66 42
Nov 2, 2020	Paris Masters\| Round of 16 Hard	Daniil Medvedev	566 722

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Detailed Stats Comparison

2026 Season Stats

Alex De Minaur

vs

Daniil Medvedev

Alex De Minaur

Season

Daniil Medvedev

33–18

65% win

35–16

69% win

Serve

4.0

Aces/Match

7.8

3.2

Double Faults/Match

4.2

57%

1st Serve %

64%

71%

1st Serve Won %

75%

56%

2nd Serve Won %

49%

Return

40%

Return Points Won %

41%

3.4/7.9 (43%)

Break Point Offense

3.5/7.9 (44%)

4.7/7.0 (67%)

Break Point Defense

3.3/5.4 (61%)

Season stats are from 2026.