Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & H2H | String Tension

Carlos Alcaraz

Rank: 3Elo: 2239Age: 23

6 - 3

Head-to-Head

Daniil Medvedev

Rank: 8Elo: 1778Age: 30

Match Prediction

Carlos

Alcaraz

Overall: 2239

Hard: 1586

VS

Daniil

Medvedev

Overall: 1778

Hard: 1885

String Tension Elo Prediction:

Alcaraz 71.8%

-255

String Tension

ELO Comparison

Match History (9 Matches)

Showing 1 to 9 of 9 matches

BNP Paribas Open - Indian WellsMar 14, 2026

Semi-Finals · Hard

C. Alcaraz

36(3)

D. Medvedev

67

BeijingSep 26, 2024

Semi-Finals · Hard

C. Alcaraz

76

D. Medvedev

53

WimbledonJul 1, 2024

Semi-Finals · Grass

C. Alcaraz

6(1)666

D. Medvedev

7344

Indian Wells MastersMar 4, 2024

Final · Hard

C. Alcaraz

76

D. Medvedev

6(5)1

Tour FinalsNov 13, 2023

Round Robin · Hard

C. Alcaraz

66

D. Medvedev

44

Us OpenAug 28, 2023

Semi-Finals · Hard

C. Alcaraz

6(3)163

D. Medvedev

7636

WimbledonJul 3, 2023

Semi-Finals · Grass

C. Alcaraz

666

D. Medvedev

333

Indian Wells MastersMar 6, 2023

Final · Hard

C. Alcaraz

66

D. Medvedev

32

WimbledonJun 28, 2021

Round of 64 · Grass

C. Alcaraz

412

D. Medvedev

666

Date	Tournament	Winner	Score
Mar 14, 2026	BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells\| Semi-Finals Hard	Daniil Medvedev	67 36(3)
Sep 26, 2024	Beijing\| Semi-Finals Hard	Carlos Alcaraz	76 53
Jul 1, 2024	Wimbledon\| Semi-Finals Grass	Carlos Alcaraz	6(1)666 7344
Mar 4, 2024	Indian Wells Masters\| Final Hard	Carlos Alcaraz	76 6(5)1
Nov 13, 2023	Tour Finals\| Round Robin Hard	Carlos Alcaraz	66 44
Aug 28, 2023	Us Open\| Semi-Finals Hard	Daniil Medvedev	7636 6(3)163
Jul 3, 2023	Wimbledon\| Semi-Finals Grass	Carlos Alcaraz	666 333
Mar 6, 2023	Indian Wells Masters\| Final Hard	Carlos Alcaraz	66 32
Jun 28, 2021	Wimbledon\| Round of 64 Grass	Daniil Medvedev	666 412

Recent Matches

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Detailed Stats Comparison

2026 Season Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

vs

Daniil Medvedev

Carlos Alcaraz

Season

Daniil Medvedev

26–4

87% win

35–16

69% win

Serve

4.6

Aces/Match

7.8

2.6

Double Faults/Match

4.2

68%

1st Serve %

64%

74%

1st Serve Won %

75%

57%

2nd Serve Won %

49%

Return

43%

Return Points Won %

41%

4.1/9.5 (43%)

Break Point Offense

3.5/7.9 (44%)

3.3/4.7 (69%)

Break Point Defense

3.3/5.4 (61%)

Season stats are from 2026.