Carlos Alcaraz vs Tommy Paul Prediction & H2H | String Tension

Carlos Alcaraz

Rank: 3Elo: 2239Age: 23

7 - 2

Head-to-Head

Tommy Paul

Rank: 21Elo: 1915Age: 29

Match Prediction

Carlos

Alcaraz

Overall: 2239

Hard: 1586

VS

Tommy

Paul

Overall: 1915

Hard: 1688

String Tension Elo Prediction:

Alcaraz 68.0%

-212

String Tension

ELO Comparison

Match History (9 Matches)

Showing 1 to 9 of 9 matches

U.S. OpenAug 31, 2026

4th Round · Hard

C. Alcaraz

666

T. Paul

434

Australian OpenJan 25, 2026

4th Round · Hard

C. Alcaraz

767

T. Paul

6(6)45

French OpenMay 26, 2025

Quarter-Finals · Clay

C. Alcaraz

666

T. Paul

014

Paris OlympicsJul 29, 2024

Quarter-Finals · Clay

C. Alcaraz

67

T. Paul

36(7)

WimbledonJul 1, 2024

Quarter-Finals · Grass

C. Alcaraz

5666

T. Paul

7422

Cincinnati MastersAug 14, 2023

Round of 16 · Hard

C. Alcaraz

76(0)6

T. Paul

6(6)73

Canada MastersAug 7, 2023

Quarter-Finals · Hard

C. Alcaraz

363

T. Paul

646

Miami MastersMar 20, 2023

Round of 16 · Hard

C. Alcaraz

66

T. Paul

44

Canada MastersAug 8, 2022

Round of 32 · Hard

C. Alcaraz

76(7)3

T. Paul

6(4)76

Date	Tournament	Winner	Score
Aug 31, 2026	U.S. Open\| 4th Round Hard	Carlos Alcaraz	666 434
Jan 25, 2026	Australian Open\| 4th Round Hard	Carlos Alcaraz	767 6(6)45
May 26, 2025	French Open\| Quarter-Finals Clay	Carlos Alcaraz	666 014
Jul 29, 2024	Paris Olympics\| Quarter-Finals Clay	Carlos Alcaraz	67 36(7)
Jul 1, 2024	Wimbledon\| Quarter-Finals Grass	Carlos Alcaraz	5666 7422
Aug 14, 2023	Cincinnati Masters\| Round of 16 Hard	Carlos Alcaraz	76(0)6 6(6)73
Aug 7, 2023	Canada Masters\| Quarter-Finals Hard	Tommy Paul	646 363
Mar 20, 2023	Miami Masters\| Round of 16 Hard	Carlos Alcaraz	66 44
Aug 8, 2022	Canada Masters\| Round of 32 Hard	Tommy Paul	6(4)76 76(7)3

Recent Matches

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Detailed Stats Comparison

2026 Season Stats

Carlos Alcaraz

vs

Tommy Paul

Carlos Alcaraz

Season

Tommy Paul

26–4

87% win

38–17

69% win

Serve

4.6

Aces/Match

6.9

2.6

Double Faults/Match

1.9

68%

1st Serve %

61%

74%

1st Serve Won %

75%

57%

2nd Serve Won %

55%

Return

43%

Return Points Won %

39%

4.1/9.5 (43%)

Break Point Offense

3.2/7.5 (42%)

3.3/4.7 (69%)

Break Point Defense

3.5/5.5 (64%)

Season stats are from 2026.