Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & H2H | String Tension

Novak Djokovic

Rank: 5Elo: 2011Age: 39

5 - 5

Head-to-Head

Carlos Alcaraz

Rank: 3Elo: 2239Age: 23

Match Prediction

Novak

Djokovic

Overall: 2011

Hard: 1582

VS

Carlos

Alcaraz

Overall: 2239

Hard: 1586

String Tension Elo Prediction:

Alcaraz 65.0%

-185

String Tension

ELO Comparison

Match History (10 Matches)

Showing 1 to 10 of 10 matches

Australian OpenFeb 1, 2026

Final · Hard

N. Djokovic

6235

C. Alcaraz

2667

U.S. OpenAug 25, 2025

Semi-Finals · Hard

N. Djokovic

46(4)2

C. Alcaraz

676

Australian OpenJan 13, 2025

Quarter-Finals · Hard

N. Djokovic

4666

C. Alcaraz

6434

Paris OlympicsJul 29, 2024

Final · Clay

N. Djokovic

77

C. Alcaraz

6(3)6(2)

WimbledonJul 1, 2024

Final · Grass

N. Djokovic

226(4)

C. Alcaraz

667

Tour FinalsNov 13, 2023

Semi-Finals · Hard

N. Djokovic

66

C. Alcaraz

32

Cincinnati MastersAug 14, 2023

Final · Hard

N. Djokovic

577

C. Alcaraz

76(7)6(4)

WimbledonJul 3, 2023

Final · Grass

N. Djokovic

66(6)164

C. Alcaraz

17636

Roland GarrosMay 29, 2023

Semi-Finals · Clay

N. Djokovic

6566

C. Alcaraz

3711

Madrid MastersMay 2, 2022

Semi-Finals · Clay

N. Djokovic

756(5)

C. Alcaraz

6(5)77

Date	Tournament	Winner	Score
Feb 1, 2026	Australian Open\| Final Hard	Carlos Alcaraz	2667 6235
Aug 25, 2025	U.S. Open\| Semi-Finals Hard	Carlos Alcaraz	676 46(4)2
Jan 13, 2025	Australian Open\| Quarter-Finals Hard	Novak Djokovic	4666 6434
Jul 29, 2024	Paris Olympics\| Final Clay	Novak Djokovic	77 6(3)6(2)
Jul 1, 2024	Wimbledon\| Final Grass	Carlos Alcaraz	667 226(4)
Nov 13, 2023	Tour Finals\| Semi-Finals Hard	Novak Djokovic	66 32
Aug 14, 2023	Cincinnati Masters\| Final Hard	Novak Djokovic	577 76(7)6(4)
Jul 3, 2023	Wimbledon\| Final Grass	Carlos Alcaraz	17636 66(6)164
May 29, 2023	Roland Garros\| Semi-Finals Clay	Novak Djokovic	6566 3711
May 2, 2022	Madrid Masters\| Semi-Finals Clay	Carlos Alcaraz	6(5)77 756(5)

Recent Matches

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Detailed Stats Comparison

2026 Season Stats

Novak Djokovic

vs

Carlos Alcaraz

Novak Djokovic

Season

Carlos Alcaraz

14–7

67% win

26–4

87% win

Serve

8.8

Aces/Match

4.6

3.5

Double Faults/Match

2.6

67%

1st Serve %

68%

75%

1st Serve Won %

74%

55%

2nd Serve Won %

57%

Return

36%

Return Points Won %

43%

3.5/9.1 (39%)

Break Point Offense

4.1/9.5 (43%)

6.4/9.1 (70%)

Break Point Defense

3.3/4.7 (69%)

Season stats are from 2026.