Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz Prediction & H2H | String Tension

Tommy Paul

Rank: 18Elo: 1915Age: 29

2 - 7

Head-to-Head

Carlos Alcaraz

Rank: 3Elo: 2239Age: 23

Match Prediction

Tommy

Paul

Overall: 1915

Hard: 1688

VS

Carlos

Alcaraz

Overall: 2239

Hard: 1586

String Tension Elo Prediction:

Alcaraz 68.0%

-212

Match History (9 Matches)

Showing 1 to 9 of 9 matches

U.S. OpenAug 31, 2026

4th Round · Hard

T. Paul

434

C. Alcaraz

666

Australian OpenJan 25, 2026

4th Round · Hard

T. Paul

6(6)45

C. Alcaraz

767

French OpenMay 26, 2025

Quarter-Finals · Clay

T. Paul

014

C. Alcaraz

666

Paris OlympicsJul 29, 2024

Quarter-Finals · Clay

T. Paul

36(7)

C. Alcaraz

67

WimbledonJul 1, 2024

Quarter-Finals · Grass

T. Paul

7422

C. Alcaraz

5666

Cincinnati MastersAug 14, 2023

Round of 16 · Hard

T. Paul

6(6)73

C. Alcaraz

76(0)6

Canada MastersAug 7, 2023

Quarter-Finals · Hard

T. Paul

646

C. Alcaraz

363

Miami MastersMar 20, 2023

Round of 16 · Hard

T. Paul

44

C. Alcaraz

66

Canada MastersAug 8, 2022

Round of 32 · Hard

T. Paul

6(4)76

C. Alcaraz

76(7)3

Recent Matches

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Detailed Stats Comparison

2026 Season Stats

Tommy Paul

vs

Carlos Alcaraz

Tommy Paul

Season

Carlos Alcaraz

38–17

69% win

26–4

87% win

Serve

6.9

Aces/Match

4.6

1.9

Double Faults/Match

2.6

61%

1st Serve %

68%

75%

1st Serve Won %

74%

55%

2nd Serve Won %

57%

Return

39%

Return Points Won %

43%

3.2/7.5 (42%)

Break Point Offense

4.1/9.5 (43%)

3.5/5.5 (64%)

Break Point Defense

3.3/4.7 (69%)

Season stats are from 2026.