Live
Rank: 1Elo: 2202Age: 28

9 - 3

Head-to-Head

Rank: 5Elo: 1974Age: 32

Three rackets logoMatch Prediction

BY flag
Aryna
Sabalenka

Overall: 2202

Hard: 2178

VS
US flag
Jessica
Pegula

Overall: 1974

Hard: 2165

String Tension Elo Prediction:

71.9%
28.1%

Implied Odds:

Sabalenka: -256

String Tension

ELO Comparison

Match History (12 Matches)

Showing 1 to 10 of 12 matches
Date
Tourn.
Winner
Score
Nov 3, 2025
WTA Finals - Riyadh| Round Robin
Hard
626
463
Oct 6, 2025
Wuhan Open| Semi-Final
Hard
267
646(2)
Aug 25, 2025
U.S. Open| Semi-Final
Hard
466
634
Mar 17, 2025
Miami Open| Final
Hard
76
52
Aug 26, 2024
Us Open| Final
Hard
77
55
Aug 12, 2024
Cincinnati| Final
Hard
67
35
Oct 30, 2023
Cancun Finals| Round Robin
Hard
66
43
Oct 31, 2022
Fort Worth Finals| Round Robin
Hard
67
35
May 9, 2022
Rome| Round of 16
Clay
66
14
Apr 29, 2021
Madrid| Round of 16
Clay
66
12
Page 1 of 2

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Detailed Stats Comparison

BY flag
Aryna Sabalenka
VS
US flag
Jessica Pegula
30-3
29-7
91%
81%

Serve Statistics

4.3
Aces/Match
4.4
1.8
Double Faults/Match
1.6
66%
1st Serve %
63%
73%
1st Serve Won %
72%
56%
2nd Serve Won %
53%

Return Statistics

46%
Return Points Won %
46%
3.9/9.2 (42%)
Break Point Offense
3.9/9.5 (41%)
3.0/4.6 (66%)
Break Point Defense
3.3/5.5 (61%)
Note: Season stats are from the 2026 season.