Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula Prediction & H2H | String Tension

Aryna Sabalenka

Rank: 1Elo: 2157Age: 28

10 - 4

Head-to-Head

Jessica Pegula

Rank: 3Elo: 2072Age: 32

Match Prediction

Aryna

Sabalenka

Overall: 2157

Hard: 2011

VS

Jessica

Pegula

Overall: 2072

Hard: 2028

String Tension Elo Prediction:

Sabalenka 55.2%

-123

String Tension

ELO Comparison

Match History (14 Matches)

Showing 1 to 10 of 14 matches

U.S. OpenAug 31, 2026

Semi-Finals · Hard

A. Sabalenka

76

J. Pegula

52

Berlin Tennis OpenJun 20, 2026

Semi-Finals · Grass

A. Sabalenka

470

J. Pegula

66(4)6

WTA Finals - RiyadhNov 3, 2025

Round Robin · Hard

A. Sabalenka

626

J. Pegula

463

Wuhan OpenOct 6, 2025

Semi-Finals · Hard

A. Sabalenka

646(2)

J. Pegula

267

U.S. OpenAug 25, 2025

Semi-Finals · Hard

A. Sabalenka

466

J. Pegula

634

Miami OpenMar 17, 2025

Final · Hard

A. Sabalenka

76

J. Pegula

52

Us OpenAug 26, 2024

Final · Hard

A. Sabalenka

77

J. Pegula

55

CincinnatiAug 12, 2024

Final · Hard

A. Sabalenka

67

J. Pegula

35

Cancun FinalsOct 30, 2023

Round Robin · Hard

A. Sabalenka

43

J. Pegula

66

Fort Worth FinalsOct 31, 2022

Round Robin · Hard

A. Sabalenka

67

J. Pegula

35

Date	Tournament	Winner	Score
Aug 31, 2026	U.S. Open\| Semi-Finals Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	76 52
Jun 20, 2026	Berlin Tennis Open\| Semi-Finals Grass	Jessica Pegula	66(4)6 470
Nov 3, 2025	WTA Finals - Riyadh\| Round Robin Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	626 463
Oct 6, 2025	Wuhan Open\| Semi-Finals Hard	Jessica Pegula	267 646(2)
Aug 25, 2025	U.S. Open\| Semi-Finals Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	466 634
Mar 17, 2025	Miami Open\| Final Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	76 52
Aug 26, 2024	Us Open\| Final Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	77 55
Aug 12, 2024	Cincinnati\| Final Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	67 35
Oct 30, 2023	Cancun Finals\| Round Robin Hard	Jessica Pegula	66 43
Oct 31, 2022	Fort Worth Finals\| Round Robin Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	67 35

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Detailed Stats Comparison

2026 Season Stats

Aryna Sabalenka

vs

Jessica Pegula

Aryna Sabalenka

Season

Jessica Pegula

46–9

84% win

50–13

79% win

Serve

5.1

Aces/Match

4.3

2.4

Double Faults/Match

1.8

65%

1st Serve %

62%

72%

1st Serve Won %

71%

55%

2nd Serve Won %

51%

Return

46%

Return Points Won %

46%

3.8/8.5 (45%)

Break Point Offense

4.1/9.5 (43%)

3.4/5.3 (63%)

Break Point Defense

3.6/6.1 (59%)

Season stats are from 2026.