Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula | Head-to-Head

Aryna Sabalenka

Rank: 1Elo: 2196Age: 27

8 - 2

Head-to-Head

Jessica Pegula

Rank: 4Elo: 1942Age: 31

Match Prediction

Aryna

Sabalenka

Overall: 2196

Hard: 2081

Jessica

Pegula

Overall: 1942

Hard: 1897

String Tension Elo Prediction:

79.3%

20.7%

Implied Odds:

Sabalenka: -382

Match History (10 Matches)

Showing 1 to 10 of 10 matches

Date	Tournament	Winner	Score
Aug 25, 2025	U.S. Open\| Semi-Final Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	4-6 · 6-3 · 6-4
Mar 17, 2025	Miami Open\| Final Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	7-5 · 6-2
Aug 26, 2024	Us Open\| Final Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	7-5 · 7-5
Aug 12, 2024	Cincinnati\| Final Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	6-3 · 7-5
Oct 30, 2023	Cancun Finals\| Round Robin Hard	Jessica Pegula	6-4 · 6-3
Oct 31, 2022	Fort Worth Finals\| Round Robin Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	6-3 · 7-5
May 9, 2022	Rome\| Round of 16 Clay	Aryna Sabalenka	6-1 · 6-4
Apr 29, 2021	Madrid\| Round of 16 Clay	Aryna Sabalenka	6-1 · 6-2
Sep 28, 2020	Roland Garros\| Round of 128 Clay	Aryna Sabalenka	6-3 · 6-1
Aug 24, 2020	Cincinnati\| Round of 16 Hard	Jessica Pegula	6-2 · 2-6 · 6-3

Recent Matches

Aryna Sabalenka (0-0)

No recent matches available

Jessica Pegula (0-0)

No recent matches available

Aryna Sabalenka (0-0)

No recent matches available

Detailed Stats Comparison

2025 Season Stats

Aryna Sabalenka

Jessica Pegula

Aryna Sabalenka

Season Comparison

Jessica Pegula

56-9

46-15

86%

75%

Serve Statistics

3.3

Aces/Match

2.5

2.0

Double Faults/Match

2.3

63%

1st Serve %

61%

69%

1st Serve Won %

70%

53%

2nd Serve Won %

51%

Return Statistics

47%

Return Points Won %

47%

3.9/8.1 (48%)

Break Point Offense

4.1/9.0 (45%)

4.3/6.5 (66%)

Break Point Defense

3.8/6.4 (60%)

Note: Season stats are from the 2025 season.