Aryna Sabalenka vs Madison Keys | Head-to-Head

Aryna Sabalenka

Rank: 1Elo: 2273Age: 27

5 - 2

Head-to-Head

Madison Keys

Rank: 8Elo: 1834Age: 30

Match Prediction

Aryna

Sabalenka

Overall: 2273

Hard: 2140

Madison

Keys

Overall: 1834

Hard: 1668

String Tension Elo Prediction:

93.0%

7.0%

Implied Odds:

Sabalenka: -1325

Match History (7 Matches)

Showing 1 to 7 of 7 matches

Date	Tournament	Winner	Score
Mar 3, 2025	BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells\| Semi-Final Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	6-0 · 6-1
Jan 13, 2025	Australian Open\| Final Hard	Madison Keys	6-3 · 2-6 · 7-5
Sep 25, 2024	Beijing\| Round of 16 Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	6-4 · 6-3
Aug 28, 2023	Us Open\| Semi-Final Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	0-6 · 7-6(1) · 7-6(5)
Jul 3, 2023	Wimbledon\| Quarter-Final Grass	Aryna Sabalenka	6-2 · 6-4
Jun 14, 2021	Berlin\| Round of 16 Grass	Madison Keys	6-4 · 1-6 · 7-5
Aug 13, 2018	Cincinnati\| Quarter-Final Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	6-3 · 6-4

Recent Matches

Aryna Sabalenka (0-0)

No recent matches available

Madison Keys (0-0)

No recent matches available

Aryna Sabalenka (0-0)

No recent matches available

Detailed Stats Comparison

2025 Season Stats

Aryna Sabalenka

Madison Keys

Aryna Sabalenka

Season Comparison

Madison Keys

55-9

36-13

86%

73%

Serve Statistics

3.3

Aces/Match

4.6

2.0

Double Faults/Match

3.6

63%

1st Serve %

67%

70%

1st Serve Won %

68%

53%

2nd Serve Won %

47%

Return Statistics

47%

Return Points Won %

45%

3.9/8.1 (48%)

Break Point Offense

4.1/9.6 (43%)

4.3/6.5 (66%)

Break Point Defense

4.1/7.1 (58%)

Note: Season stats are from the 2025 season.