Madison Keys vs Aryna Sabalenka | Head-to-Head | String Tension

Madison Keys

Rank: 16Elo: 1891Age: 30

2 - 6

Head-to-Head

Aryna Sabalenka

Rank: 1Elo: 2252Age: 27

Match Prediction

Madison

Keys

Overall: 1891

Hard: 1797

VS

Aryna

Sabalenka

Overall: 2252

Hard: 2144

String Tension Elo Prediction:

11.4%

88.6%

Implied Odds:

Sabalenka: -780

Match History (8 Matches)

Showing 1 to 8 of 8 matches

Brisbane International 2026Brisbane International 2026QF

Aryna SabalenkaAryna Sabalenka✓

6

6

Madison KeysMadison Keys

3

3

BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells 2025BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells 2025SF

Aryna SabalenkaAryna Sabalenka✓

6

6

Madison KeysMadison Keys

0

1

Australian Open - Melbourne 2025Australian Open - Melbourne 2025F

Madison KeysMadison Keys✓

6

2

7

Aryna SabalenkaAryna Sabalenka

3

6

5

Beijing 2024Beijing 2024R16

Aryna SabalenkaAryna Sabalenka✓

6

6

Madison KeysMadison Keys

4

3

Us Open 2023Us Open 2023SF

Aryna SabalenkaAryna Sabalenka✓

0

7

7

Madison KeysMadison Keys

6

6(1)

6(5)

Wimbledon 2023Wimbledon 2023QF

Aryna SabalenkaAryna Sabalenka✓

6

6

Madison KeysMadison Keys

2

4

Berlin 2021Berlin 2021R16

Madison KeysMadison Keys✓

6

1

7

Aryna SabalenkaAryna Sabalenka

4

6

5

Cincinnati 2018Cincinnati 2018QF

Aryna SabalenkaAryna Sabalenka✓

6

6

Madison KeysMadison Keys

3

4

Date	Tournament	Winner	Score
Jan 5, 2026	Brisbane International\| Quarter-Final Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	6-3 · 6-3
Mar 3, 2025	BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells\| Semi-Final Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	6-0 · 6-1
Jan 13, 2025	Australian Open\| Final Hard	Madison Keys	6-3 · 2-6 · 7-5
Sep 25, 2024	Beijing\| Round of 16 Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	6-4 · 6-3
Aug 28, 2023	Us Open\| Semi-Final Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	0-6 · 7-6(1) · 7-6(5)
Jul 3, 2023	Wimbledon\| Quarter-Final Grass	Aryna Sabalenka	6-2 · 6-4
Jun 14, 2021	Berlin\| Round of 16 Grass	Madison Keys	6-4 · 1-6 · 7-5
Aug 13, 2018	Cincinnati\| Quarter-Final Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	6-3 · 6-4

Recent Matches

Madison Keys (0-0)

No recent matches available

Aryna Sabalenka (0-0)

No recent matches available

Madison Keys (0-0)

No recent matches available

Detailed Stats Comparison

2026 Season Stats

Madison Keys

VS

Aryna Sabalenka

Madison Keys

Season Comparison

Aryna Sabalenka

6-3

11-1

67%

92%

Serve Statistics

4.4

Aces/Match

4.0

5.6

Double Faults/Match

1.4

63%

1st Serve %

66%

67%

1st Serve Won %

75%

44%

2nd Serve Won %

57%

Return Statistics

46%

Return Points Won %

49%

4.0/7.6 (53%)

Break Point Offense

3.8/8.8 (44%)

3.8/6.9 (55%)

Break Point Defense

2.7/4.0 (67%)

Note: Season stats are from the 2026 season.