Madison Keys

Rank: 19Elo: 1811Age: 31

2 - 6

Head-to-Head

Aryna Sabalenka

Rank: 1Elo: 2184Age: 28

Match Prediction

Madison

Keys

Overall: 1811

Hard: 1736

Aryna

Sabalenka

Overall: 2184

Hard: 2178

String Tension Elo Prediction:

9.4%

90.6%

Implied Odds:

Sabalenka: -964

ELO Comparison

Match History (8 Matches)

Showing 1 to 8 of 8 matches

Date	Tourn.Tournament	Winner	Score
Jan 8, 2026	Brisbane International\| Quarter-Final Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	66 33
Mar 3, 2025	BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells\| Semi-Final Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	66 01
Jan 13, 2025	Australian Open\| Final Hard	Madison Keys	627 365
Sep 25, 2024	Beijing\| Round of 16 Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	66 43
Aug 28, 2023	Us Open\| Semi-Final Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	077 66(1)6(5)
Jul 3, 2023	Wimbledon\| Quarter-Final Grass	Aryna Sabalenka	66 24
Jun 14, 2021	Berlin\| Round of 16 Grass	Madison Keys	617 465
Aug 13, 2018	Cincinnati\| Quarter-Final Hard	Aryna Sabalenka	66 34

Recent Matches

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Detailed Stats Comparison

2026 Season Stats

Madison Keys

Aryna Sabalenka

Madison Keys

Season Comparison

Aryna Sabalenka

12-8

27-3

60%

90%

Serve Statistics

4.2

Aces/Match

4.6

3.8

Double Faults/Match

1.9

65%

1st Serve %

66%

69%

1st Serve Won %

74%

45%

2nd Serve Won %

57%

Return Statistics

45%

Return Points Won %

46%

3.8/7.8 (48%)

Break Point Offense

3.7/9.2 (41%)

4.3/7.0 (61%)

Break Point Defense

3.0/4.6 (66%)

Note: Season stats are from the 2026 season.