Madison Keys vs Daria Kasatkina Prediction & H2H | String Tension

Madison Keys

Rank: 24Elo: 1889Age: 31

10 - 2

Head-to-Head

Daria Kasatkina

Rank: 61Elo: 1658Age: 29

Match Prediction

Madison

Keys

Overall: 1889

Hard: 1620

VS

Daria

Kasatkina

Overall: 1658

Hard: 1383

String Tension Elo Prediction:

Keys 71.8%

-255

String Tension

ELO Comparison

Match History (12 Matches)

Showing 1 to 10 of 12 matches

Adelaide InternationalJan 6, 2025

Quarter-Finals · Hard

M. Keys

66

D. Kasatkina

13

EastbourneJun 26, 2023

Final · Grass

M. Keys

67

D. Kasatkina

26(13)

CharlestonApr 3, 2023

Quarter-Finals · Clay

M. Keys

742

D. Kasatkina

6(5)66

San DiegoOct 10, 2022

Round of 16 · Hard

M. Keys

66

D. Kasatkina

43

Melbourne 2Jan 3, 2022

Round of 16 · Hard

M. Keys

6(4)63

D. Kasatkina

726

Australian OpenJan 20, 2020

Round of 128 · Hard

M. Keys

66

D. Kasatkina

31

OsakaSep 16, 2019

Round of 32 · Hard

M. Keys

66

D. Kasatkina

34

CincinnatiAug 12, 2019

Round of 32 · Hard

M. Keys

66

D. Kasatkina

41

ZhuhaiOct 29, 2018

Round of 16 · Hard

M. Keys

66

D. Kasatkina

24

CincinnatiAug 14, 2017

Round of 32 · Hard

M. Keys

66

D. Kasatkina

21

Date	Tournament	Winner	Score
Jan 6, 2025	Adelaide International\| Quarter-Finals Hard	Madison Keys	66 13
Jun 26, 2023	Eastbourne\| Final Grass	Madison Keys	67 26(13)
Apr 3, 2023	Charleston\| Quarter-Finals Clay	Daria Kasatkina	6(5)66 742
Oct 10, 2022	San Diego\| Round of 16 Hard	Madison Keys	66 43
Jan 3, 2022	Melbourne 2\| Round of 16 Hard	Daria Kasatkina	726 6(4)63
Jan 20, 2020	Australian Open\| Round of 128 Hard	Madison Keys	66 31
Sep 16, 2019	Osaka\| Round of 32 Hard	Madison Keys	66 34
Aug 12, 2019	Cincinnati\| Round of 32 Hard	Madison Keys	66 41
Oct 29, 2018	Zhuhai\| Round of 16 Hard	Madison Keys	66 24
Aug 14, 2017	Cincinnati\| Round of 32 Hard	Madison Keys	66 21

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Detailed Stats Comparison

2026 Season Stats

Madison Keys

vs

Daria Kasatkina

Madison Keys

Season

Daria Kasatkina

31–15

67% win

11–17

39% win

Serve

4.2

Aces/Match

2.1

3.5

Double Faults/Match

7.0

64%

1st Serve %

68%

72%

1st Serve Won %

59%

48%

2nd Serve Won %

39%

Return

44%

Return Points Won %

46%

3.7/8.2 (45%)

Break Point Offense

4.7/9.5 (50%)

3.9/6.3 (63%)

Break Point Defense

6.0/11.0 (55%)

Season stats are from 2026.