Madison Keys vs Jelena Ostapenko | Head-to-Head

String Tension

Madison Keys

Rank: 8Elo: 1933Age: 30

4 - 2

Head-to-Head

Jelena Ostapenko

Rank: 25Elo: 1736Age: 28

Match Prediction

Madison

Keys

Overall: 1933

Hard: 1593

Jelena

Ostapenko

Overall: 1736

Hard: 1532

String Tension Elo Prediction:

71.1%

28.9%

Implied Odds:

Keys: -246

Match History (6 Matches)

Showing 1 to 6 of 6 matches

Date	Tournament	Winner	Score
Jan 6, 2025	Adelaide International\| Round of 16 Hard	Madison Keys	3-6 · 6-4 · 6-3
Feb 13, 2023	Doha\| Round of 32 Hard	Jelena Ostapenko	7-5 · 6-2
Aug 15, 2022	Cincinnati\| Round of 32 Hard	Madison Keys	6-4 · 7-5
Jun 20, 2022	Eastbourne\| Round of 16 Grass	Jelena Ostapenko	6-3 · RET
Apr 1, 2019	Charleston\| Round of 16 Clay	Madison Keys	7-5 · 6-2
Jun 13, 2016	Birmingham\| Quarter-Final Grass	Madison Keys	6-7(1) · 6-4 · 6-2

Recent Matches

Madison Keys (0-0)

No recent matches available

Jelena Ostapenko (0-0)

No recent matches available

Madison Keys (0-0)

No recent matches available

Detailed Stats Comparison

2025 Season Stats

Madison Keys

Jelena Ostapenko

Madison Keys

Season Comparison

Jelena Ostapenko

36-13

21-20

73%

51%

Serve Statistics

4.6

Aces/Match

3.6

Double Faults/Match

6.0

67%

1st Serve %

56%

68%

1st Serve Won %

65%

47%

2nd Serve Won %

43%

Return Statistics

45%

Return Points Won %

45%

4.1/9.6 (43%)

Break Point Offense

4.0/7.9 (51%)

4.1/7.1 (58%)

Break Point Defense

3.8/7.4 (51%)

Note: Season stats are from the 2025 season.